Probability: IGCSE Mathematics questions and answers
10 free IGCSE Mathematics Probability questions written in the style of Cambridge Mathematics papers, each with its answer and mark scheme. 5 of them are A* challenge questions, built to catch the mistakes strong students still make.
This topic covers Introduction to probability, Relative & expected frequency, Combined events & tree diagrams. Work through the questions below, then generate a full Probability paper with a fresh set every time.
A bag contains 5 red counters and 3 blue counters. Two counters are taken at random from the bag, without replacement.
(a)
Find the probability that the two counters are different colours.
[3]
(b)
Find the probability that at least one of the counters is red.
[2]
(c)
Given that the two counters are the same colour, find the probability that they are both red.
[2]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
1528
58 × 37M1 × 2 or add the two orders M1 1528A1
3
(b)
2528
1 − 38 × 27M1 2528A1
2
(c)
1013
2056 ÷ 2656M1 1013A1
2
Question 2Structured · 12 marksA* challenge
Three fair six-sided dice are thrown. The three scores can sometimes be arranged in an order that makes an arithmetic sequence (a sequence with a constant difference, which may be zero), for example 5, 1, 3 → 1, 3, 5.
(a)
Find the probability that the three scores can be arranged to make an arithmetic sequence.
[4]
(b)
Find the probability that the scores, in the order the dice are numbered, already make an arithmetic sequence.
[3]
(c)
Given that the three scores can be arranged to make an arithmetic sequence, find the probability that the three scores are all different.
[2]
(d)
Five fair dice are thrown. Find the probability that the five scores can be arranged to make an arithmetic sequence.
6 constant sequences B1 each of the 6 sets in increasing or decreasing order: 12 M1 18216 = 112A1
3
(c)
67
3642M1 67A1
2
(d)
411296
only difference 0 or 1 is possible (difference 2 would need 9) M1 6 + 2 × 5! = 246 outcomes M1 2467776 = 411296A1
3
Question 3Structured · 4 marksA* challenge
The probability that it rains on any day is 0.4. The weather on different days is independent.
(a)
Find the probability that it rains on exactly one of two days.
[2]
(b)
Find the probability that it rains on at least one of three days.
[2]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
0.48
2 × 0.4 × 0.6 M1 0.48 A1
2
(b)
0.784
1 − 0.63M1 0.784 A1
2
Question 4Structured · 6 marksA* challenge
A spinner can land on red, blue, green or yellow.
Colour
Red
Blue
Green
Yellow
Probability
0.1
0.15
x
2x
Table 4.1
(a)
Find the value of x.
[2]
(b)
The spinner is spun 500 times. Find the expected number of times it lands on yellow.
[2]
(c)
The spinner is spun twice. Find the probability that it lands on red both times or on blue both times.
[2]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
0.25
0.1 + 0.15 + x + 2x = 1 M1 0.25 A1
2
(b)
250
500 × 0.5 M1 250 A1
2
(c)
0.0325
0.12 + 0.152M1 0.0325 A1
2
Question 5Structured · 3 marks
A bag contains 7 red, 6 blue and 5 green counters. One counter is taken at random.
(a)
Find the probability that it is red.
[1]
(b)
Find the probability that it is not green.
[1]
(c)
Find the probability that it is yellow.
[1]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
718
718B1
1
(b)
1318
1318B1
1
(c)
0
0 B1
1
Question 6Structured · 7 marks
A bag contains 7 red counters and 3 blue counters. Amira takes a counter at random, notes its colour and does not replace it. She then takes a second counter at random.
Fig. 6.1
(a)
Complete the tree diagram.
[2]
(b)
Find the probability that both counters are red.
[2]
(c)
Find the probability that the counters are different colours.
[3]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
Lower branches: 7/9 and 2/9
7/9 B1 2/9 B1
2
(b)
715
710 × 69M1 715A1
2
(c)
715
710 × 39M1 310 × 79 added M1 715A1
3
Question 7Structured · 3 marks
The table shows the probabilities of a biased spinner landing on each colour.
Colour
Red
Blue
Green
Yellow
Probability
0.20
0.25
0.35
x
Table 7.1
(a)
Find x.
[2]
(b)
The spinner is spun 200 times. Find the expected number of times it lands on blue.
[1]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
0.20
1 − sum M1 0.20 A1
2
(b)
50
50 B1
1
Question 8Structured · 3 marks
A drawing pin is dropped 100 times. It lands point up 32 times.
(a)
Find the relative frequency of landing point up.
[1]
(b)
The pin is dropped 600 more times. Estimate how many times it lands point up.
[1]
(c)
Explain how the estimate could be made more reliable.
[1]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
825
825B1
1
(b)
192
192 B1
1
(c)
more trials
increase the number of trials B1
1
Question 9Structured · 5 marks
A box contains 5 red sweets and 3 green sweets. Sam takes a sweet at random, eats it, then takes another.
(a)
Draw a tree diagram and find the probability that both sweets are red.
[3]
(b)
Find the probability that the sweets are different colours.
[2]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
514
tree with correct branches B1 58 × 47M1 514A1
3
(b)
1528
2 × 58 × 37M1 1528A1
2
Question 10Structured · 9 marksA* challenge
A bag contains 4 red counters and n blue counters. Two counters are taken at random, without replacement. The probability that the two counters are the same colour is 49.
(a)
Form an equation in n.
[3]
(b)
Solve the equation to find n.
[3]
(c)
The bag is returned to its original contents. Three counters are now taken without replacement. Find the probability that exactly two of them are red.
[3]
Show answers and mark scheme
Part
Answer and marking points
Marks
(a)
9(12 + n2 − n) = 4(n + 4)(n + 3) or equivalent
4n + 4 × 3n + 3 + nn + 4 × n − 1n + 3M1 combined over the common denominator M1 equated and cross-multiplied correctly A1
3
(b)
n = 5
expanded to a quadratic = 0 M1 factorise / formula M1 n = 5 (reject the other root) A1
In the 0580 syllabus, Probability covers Introduction to probability, Relative & expected frequency, Combined events & tree diagrams.
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Original Cambridge-style practice questions written for mentorriyaz.in. These are not Cambridge past paper questions, and this site is not affiliated with or endorsed by Cambridge University Press & Assessment. Updated 2026-11-04. Paper generator · mentorriyaz.in